Financial History Issue 112 (Winter 2015) | Page 34

Genesis of the “Big Three” Credit Rating Agencies By Lesyk Voznyuk The “Big Three” credit rating agencies — Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s and Fitch — were all founded on the principle that investors would pay for information that would protect them from loss. And all three first began as publishers of business information in the early 20th century, but branched out into securities rating as the business information industry developed. Economic forecasting also boomed early in the 20th century, and it was the combination of business statistics and principles of forecasting that gave birth to the credit rating business. The origins of the credit rating agencies date to the 19th century. During the mid1800s, railroads were the largest corporations in the United States. The railroad business was incredibly capital intensive and, as a result, the railroad companies issued securities — a wide variety of notes, bonds and hybrid debt-equity instruments — to finance the construction and maintenance of their infrastructure. Information about the health of railroad companies, particularly their financial health, was fragmented, providing an opportunity for pioneers in the field of business information and analysis. One of the first of these was Maine lawyer Henry Varnum Poor. In 1849, Poor published the American Railroad Journal and followed it up with A History of the Railroads and the Canals of the United States in 1860. Then, with the help of his son, Poor founded the H.V. and H.W. Poor Company, which published business information for investors. In 1868, it published its highly-successful Manual of the Railroads of the United States and updated it annually thereafter. For a brief stint in 1890–1893, Poor also published a handbook on the securities of industrial companies. The lack of information about industrial companies provided an opportunity for future entrepreneurs as the number of publicly-held industrial companies grew. The first of those entrepreneurs was John Moody, whose passion for transparency in business and information for investors dated back to his childhood. Moody’s father lost vast sums in the stock market in the Panics of 1873 and 1879. This experience led Moody to believe that if better information could be supplied to investors, they could be better protected from the vagaries of the financial markets. In 1890, Moody obtained a job in one of Wall Street’s financial houses, Spencer Trask and Company. He began as an errand boy, but by 1899 he was the head of research at the firm. At the time, though Poor’s Manual of railroads was an established source of information, a similar source for information on the growing number of large, publicly-held industrial companies did not exist. Moody, with his passion for transparency and with an eye for business, decided to publish an equivalent of Poor’s Manual for industrial companies. 32    FINANCIAL HISTORY  |  Winter 2015  | www.MoAF.org Eliphalet Nott Porter, a Spencer Trask colleague of Moody’s, provided the capital Moody needed, and Moody set to work soliciting pre-orders to finance the publication even before writing it. The Manual was completed in 1900 and sold 5,000 copies. It contained 12 sections with information about the finances and outstanding securities of various industrial firms, as well as railroads. Moody’s Manual, like that of Poor, was then updated annually. It was not long before other firms entered the market. By 1904, the Poor Publishing Company added a volume covering industrial companies to its manual of railroad companies. Poor’s two-volume manual was more expensive than Moody’s single volume. However, with nearly the