Financial History Issue 117 (Spring 2016) | Page 19

By Gregory DL Morris During the recession of 2009–10, the term “financial engineering” got a very bad reputation. It became synonymous with deliberately opaque and convoluted instruments designed to fool investors and regulators. But not all financial engineering is deceptive and daedal. Every element of finance, from fiat money to common stocks, had to be invented. That invention continues. One of the more recent innovations was designed to reduce risk, rather than increase it, and has been by all accounts very successful. Catastrophe bonds, or cat bonds, were developed in the 1990s to address several important needs in the risk-transfer sector. A series of monster events severely stressed the capacity of even the largest underwriters and the reinsurance companies that backed them. They sought not just ways to increase their capacity, but also ways to apportion risk beyond traditional markets. At the same time, smaller firms were interested in participating in larger markets and risks, but in limited ways. Further, capital markets were eager for noncorrelated, alternative investments. “There had been attempts to create a market in exchange-traded index instruments on the Chicago Board of Trade in the early 1990s,” said Dirk Lohmann, CEO and managing partner of Secquaero Advisors, based in Zurich. The galvanizing event for what became cat bonds was Hurricane Andrew in 1992. “That was a market-changing event,” Lohmann said. “A lot of insurers and reinsurers did not use probabilistic models in those days, although they did exist and were available for commercial license.” Hannover Re was an early adopter of such models under Lohmann’s guidance. Today the global market for cat bonds is about $25 billion. There is an even larger market, about $70 billion in broader alternative capital for risk transfer. That Cameron Davidson The catastrophe bond is financial engineering that does what it should Aftermath of Hurricane Andrew, which hit Florida in 1992 and sparked the idea for catastrophe bonds. Spring 2016  |  FINANCIAL HISTORY  17