Financial History Issue 130 (Summer 2019) | Page 21
of 1920–1921. Prominent Yale economist
Irving Fisher announced in May 1930 that,
“thus far the difference between the pres-
ent comparatively mild business recession
and the severe depression of 1920–1921 is
like that between a thunder-shower and a
tornado.” This time, the nation’s leaders
met the “mild business recession” with a
very different response. Businesses fought
to keep wage levels up for fear of reducing
what was beginning to be called “aggre-
gate demand.”
The most prominent proponent of this
effort was Henry Ford and his Ford Motor
Company. Ford stubbornly raised work-
ers’ wages in 1930 to combat the decline.
President Hoover announced in May 1930
that, “for the first time in the history of
great slumps, we have had no substan-
tial reduction in wages.” Of those firms
reporting their activity to the Bureau of
Labor Statistics, 92% had reduced wages in
1921, while just 7% did so in 1930.
This stubborn approach to keep up wages
and “aggregate demand” did not work.
Other factors—the Smoot-Hawley tariff
bill, income tax hikes, the repeal of dollar-
gold convertibility—contributed to cause
the mild recession described in May 1930 to
deepen. 1931 would be one of the most dif-
ficult years of the 20th century, and by mid-
year 1932, things had completely collapsed.
Unemployment soared. The economic rout
that was the 1930s was on, and the difficult
days of 1920-1921 and the lessons that those
events might hold began being erased from
the nation’s collective memory.
Dan Munson is a student of financial
and scientific history. His writings have
appeared in Barron’s Financial Weekly
and many other publications. He enjoys
reading and writing financial and scien-
tific history and worked for many years
at 3M.
Sources
Barber, William J. From New Era to New Deal:
Herbert Hoover, the Economists, and Ameri-
can Economic Policy, 1921–1933. Cambridge
University Press. 1985.
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Peculiar Jai Hind share
Carret, Philip L. The Art of Speculation. New
York: Barron’s. 1927.
Friedman, Milton and Anna Jacobson
Schwartz. A Monetary History of the United
States, 1867–1960. Princeton University
Press. 1963.
Friedman, Walter. Fortune Tellers: The Story of
America’s First Economic Forecasters. Princ-
eton University Press. 2013.
General Ledgers and Income Statements of the
3M Company, 1905–1932. The Minnesota
Historical Society.
Grant, James. The Forgotten Depression: 1921:
The Crash That Cured Itself. Simon & Schus-
ter. 2014.
Huck, Virginia. The Brand of the Tartan: The
3M Story. Minnesota Mining and Manufac-
turing Company. 1955.
“A Long-Term Perspective: Dow Jones Indus-
trial Average 1920–2000,” New York: Value
Line Publishing, Inc.
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