Financial History Issue 130 (Summer 2019) | Page 40

BOOK REVIEW  BY GREGORY DL MORRIS Firefighting: The Financial Crisis and Its Lessons By Ben S. Bernanke, Timothy F. Geithner and Henry M. Paulson, Jr. Penguin Random House, 2019 129 pages text, 82 pages charts, index Ten years after the near-immolation of US and global financial markets, the three men who led the effort to contain and control the conflagration have writ- ten a superb short history of the dev- astating events. Despite being brief it is sufficiently detailed, enough indeed to quicken the pulse of any reader as they relate unheeded warnings, infamous acts of venality and the extreme efforts ulti- mately necessary to battle the crisis. Those efforts took the trio and their departments to the edge of legal authority. The book is surprisingly well written, brisk and approachable. There is no doubt of the erudition of the authors, but eco- nomics is not called the dismal science for nothing. Financial history, even recent history of great and terrible events, tends to be dry. The tone is clear and mostly free of the coded language of bankers and regulators so that any reader can follow the narrative. Still, there is strong and precise terminology for financial profes- sionals. Serious technicians can geek out to the dozens of pages of tables and charts. It is vitally important that the book is equally relevant to technical and non- technical readers alike, because it delivers urgent warnings. The clear theme of the story is that like Waterloo, the financial crisis was a near-run thing and as bad as it was, it could easily have been much worse. It is plain throughout that even the brightest and most adept firefighters had to scramble and improvise with insuf- ficient tools. Often the authors clamor for systemic oversight and coordinated responses with adequate apparatus. Ominously they note at the end of the book that the necessary protections, regulations and measures are already being dismantled in the name of growth. “The Fed has lost its power to res- cue individual firms, and faces new con- straints on its lending powers, while the Treasury has lost its ability to use the Exchange Stabilization Fund for guaran- tees,” the authors warn. “This has all been done in the name of avoiding government rescues, a worthy goal. But the better way to avoid government rescues is not to hobble the first responders but to avoid crises in the first place. Eventually risk tends to weave its way around even the best designed safeguards. [T]hat is a rea- son to give crisis managers the authority they need to respond with overwhelming force. You can’t wish away fires by closing the firehouse.” This book is remarkable for its straight- forward narrative of the crisis, and also for its well-founded warnings. There is surprisingly strong criticism of some com- panies. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac get well lashed: “These government-spon- sored enterprises had deep influence with both parties in Washington and exploited assumptions that the government would never let them fail to borrow heavily at below-market rates without much of a 38    FINANCIAL HISTORY  |  Summer 2019  | www.MoAF.org capital buffer. They were basically the corporate embodiment of moral hazard, enjoying the upside of their risk taking while taking comfort that taxpayers would cover any downside.” Emergency legislation “gave the Trea- sury and the Fed a chance to look under the hood of Fannie Mae and Freddy Mac, uncovering some ugly surprises. Fed and OCC examiners concluded that both firms were functionally insolvent, with flimsy capital cushions that were mostly account- ing fictions.” A term like “accounting fiction” is a polite way of saying fraud, and the reader wonders why no one was held to criminal prosecution. The authors are also at pains to reiterate several times how they set aside punitive measures in the name of resolving the crisis in front of them. There was a near-constant call for haircuts for creditors, but the authors note that such provisions would have made enabling leg- islation more difficult to pass or enforce. Similarly, some notorious malefactors in the crisis—such as Angelo Mozilo, the former CEO of Countrywide—are let off with barely a mention. Instead, the authors heap their scorn on the haphazard regulation that was allowed to accumulate, like a jacket of all patches, and on the lack of authority vested in what regulators there were. And while the cats were away, the mice did play. The near-death experience of Bear Stea- rns, ultimately acquired by JP Morgan Chase, hardly filled the authors with con- fidence. “We did not feel triumphant after the Bear rescue,” the authors recall rue- fully. “We felt uncomfortable. The episode demonstrated how confidence in heavy leveraged and loosely regulated nonbanks with too much short-term funding could disappear in a heartbeat. “And Bear was not the only financial institution that had borrowed too much and too short with too little oversight, or invested too much in sketchy mort- gages and structured credit that nobody trusted anymore….Suspicions were also mounting in the markets that Lehman [Brothers] would be ‘next,’ which can