Financial History 100th Edition Double Issue (Spring/Summer 2011) | Page 46

thing causing the decline of the Confederate dollar. The value of Treasury notes relied to a great extent on something the Confederate Congress couldn’t control: the public’s perception of whether the South was winning the war. The better the Confederacy fared, the better chance it would keep its promise to eventually exchange its notes for gold or silver, and thus the more desirable the bills. Some Treasury notes made this connection explicit, like the $5 bills that Upham first counterfeited, which promised their redemption six months after the ratification of a treaty between the Confederacy and the Union. In the second half of 1862, the decline in the value of Southern currency picked up speed. On August 1, a gold dollar cost two Confederate paper dollars; by the end of the year, it cost $3.25, an increase of more than 60%. This precipitous drop in value coincided with a series of events that changed the Southern view of the war. The Battle of Antietam took place on September 17, Lincoln introduced the Emancipation Proclamation on September 22, and by November 4, most Northern states had voted in the congressional elections, leaving the Republicans in control of Congress. Taken together, these developments demonstrated the Union’s will to fight. The North sacrificed thousands of men to eke out a narrow victory at Antietam, and then committed itself to waging total 44    Financial History  |  Spring/Summer 2011  |  www.MoAF.org Ben Tarnoff is the author of Moneymakers: The Wicked Lives and Surprising Adventures of Three Notorious Counterfeiters (Penguin Press, 2011). He has worked as an assistant editor at Lapham’s Quarterly and lives in New York. © Bettmann/CORBIS The Library Company of Philadelphia. Advertising circular from Samuel Curtis Upham, dated May 30, 1862. war by targeting the South’s core institution. Continued Republican supremacy in Congress ensured that Lincoln’s policies would remain in place, and eliminated any possibility of a negotiated peace. The consequences for the Southern money market were clear. A protracted struggle would prolong the redemption of the notes, perhaps indefinitely. And, in the event of a Union victory, not only would Confederate currency be worthless but the entire economic system it was based on would be dismantled. Upham abandoned the counterfeiting busine