Financial History Issue 129 (Spring 2019) | Page 28

of change in course; realizing that it didn’t have the silver required to redeem the Louisiana bonds, it now curtailed loans, demanded prompt repayment of out- standing debts and refused to accept any bank’s notes that were not redeemable in specie. Banks and businesses around the country began to fail. Then toward the end of the year, English mills, unable to keep paying high prices for raw cotton while selling yarn and cloth at a loss, temporar- ily switched from American suppliers to cheaper sources in India. The Panic of 1819 arrived as word came from Liverpool that the price offered for cotton—far and away America’s most valuable export— had fallen from over 30 cents per pound to under 15 cents. Soon farms were being lost to sheriffs’ sales, businesses were fail- ing and almshouses began to swell with destitute families. It has been popular ever since to blame the second Bank of the United States for creating what people called “pecuniary embarrassments,” “money pressures” or simply “hard times.” The Bank had cer- tainly made matters worse by pumping more credit into the market from 1817 through mid-1818; and although its con- traction was inevitable, it was dangerously sudden and continued without easing even after the severely deflated economy spiraled down out of control. But the Bank had not forced its customers to bor- row so far beyond their means, and the orgy of speculation was itself inspired by unsustainable commodity prices that fell more rapidly—and further—than anyone could foresee. The panic was too complex and far too extensive to blame solely on the Bank of the United States. There was plenty of blame to go around, but few were willing to accept any of it. Respectable people condemned bankrupts as irresponsible and extravagant—which some doubtless were—until they suddenly found them- selves bankrupt as well. All classes of soci- ety suffered. Laid-off agricultural workers in the countryside had to camp in the woods and live off the land; city merchants and craftsmen wound up in debtors’ pris- ons. When a Pennsylvania debtor died before he could be arrested, the constable tried to jail the corpse. In Massachusetts, a farmer traded a large hog for a small pig, “and gave 50 cents boot money, because the little one would eat less during the winter.” 1 President Thomas Jefferson (left) and Mormon Church founder Joseph Smith (right) were two of the many Americans whose lives were changed by the Panic of 1819. Those least responsible for their own dis- tress were the most frequently held account- able for it: the unemployed poor. Munici- palities, their meager poor taxes quickly spent, refused aid to any but those willing to give up their freedom and enter the poorhouse; some churches provided winter firewood or soup, but charitable groups were more likely to dole out sermons on the virtue of thrift and the evil of luxury. The evangelical revivals of the Second Great Awakening rejected Calvinist predestina- tion in favor of the possibility of salvation through personal conversion—but a cor- ollary was the belief that people’s poverty must be the result of their own moral failure rather than God’s inscrutable will. Too few statistics were kept to allow detailed comparisons with later depres- sions, but the evidence that we do have is sobering. Contemporary estimates of nationwide unemployment ranged from hundreds of thousands to millions; in places like Pittsburgh and Philadelphia, where thorough investigations were undertaken, it appears to have reached 50% of workers. Western land had been a siren call that could not be resisted; people spoke of being “carried off” by the Ohio or Alabama “fever,” and those who moved once would likely move again. Nearly all farmers were in debt, and court records are filled with both large and small land- owners suing their debtors in order to pay their creditors. Businesses could not collect from their customers, and lawyers could not collect from their clients. 26    FINANCIAL HISTORY  |  Summer 2018  | www.MoAF.org Wheat and cotton, the two great cash crops that had looked so promising, lost half their value in 1818 and 1819, and mil- lions of acres of newly purchased land were forfeited, often from the inability to pay a few hundred dollars on a loan. Nearly half of the public lands sold in Alabama wound up being relinquished to the government. The westward movement slowed to a trickle, and new western cities were especially vulnerable. In St. Louis half of the businesses closed and one third of the people simply left. Cincinnati had been the fastest growing city in America, but half of its homes and businesses were foreclosed upon. The Bank of the United States had to open a second Cincinnati branch devoted exclusively to managing its real estate. From 1818 through 1823, the total value of both imports and exports, which had been rapidly rising, fell more steeply than in any later depression. Federal revenue, almost all derived from import duties and land sales, plummeted. Other long-term growth trends also reversed. The number of immigrants from Europe had been steadily growing, but now their letters warned others to stay home, and ships left New York carrying disillusioned crowds back to the old country, just as they would in 1932. Existing evidence is suggestive of deep decline in GDP, on a par with the Great Depression. In Pittsburgh, the value of manufactured goods fell to one- third what it had been. It would take the city a decade to get back to the annual